Smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM)

If you or someone you love has just heard this diagnosis, start here. This guide explains what the condition is, how it is usually treated and whether a transplant plays any part.

Smoldering multiple myeloma is an early, symptom-free stage of myeloma. Abnormal plasma cells and their protein are present at higher levels than in MGUS, but they are not yet harming the body. Most people are watched closely without treatment. Some people at high risk may be offered daratumumab to delay progression. A stem cell transplant is not a standard treatment for smoldering myeloma itself.

Other names and abbreviations

SMM, smoldering myeloma, smouldering myeloma, smouldering multiple myeloma, asymptomatic myeloma, high-risk smoldering myeloma, HR-SMM, Asymptomatic multiple myeloma, Indolent myeloma

In short

  • Smoldering myeloma is an early stage of myeloma. Abnormal plasma cells and their protein are present, but they are not yet harming the body or causing symptoms.
  • Most people are watched with regular tests. Some people at high risk may be offered daratumumab, approved in 2025 in the EU and US, to delay active myeloma.
  • A stem cell transplant is not standard for smoldering myeloma itself. If it becomes active myeloma, a transplant with the person’s own cells may be considered.
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Where transplant fits

Smoldering myeloma itself is not treated with a standard , and no donor is involved. EBMT’s 2025 recommendations and NMDP’s consultation guidelines do not list it. A transplant with the person’s own cells has been tested only in for high-risk disease. If it becomes active multiple myeloma, a transplant with the person’s own cells may then be considered; donor transplants in myeloma are uncommon.

Treatment depends on the exact diagnosis, disease stage, prior treatment and the person’s health.

Key facts

Who it affects
Mainly older adults. In U.S. cancer registries, rates rose with age up to 75–79 and were higher in men and in non-Hispanic Black people. Many cases are never diagnosed: a national screening study in Iceland found smoldering myeloma in about 0.5% of people aged 40 or older.
How common
About 0.7 recorded new diagnoses per 100,000 people a yearAge-adjusted rate, U.S. SEER 17 cancer registries, people diagnosed 2012–2022 (many cases are never diagnosed; published 2026) Source: How common
Cells used in a transplant
No transplant is standard for smoldering myeloma itself; an autologous (own-cell) transplant has been used only in clinical trials for high-risk disease. If it becomes active multiple myeloma and a transplant is chosen, it most often uses the person’s own stem cells. A donor transplant for myeloma is generally kept for selected high-risk disease.
Where a donor fits
Limited transplant role

What it is

Plasma cells are white blood cells in the that make . In smoldering myeloma, a group of abnormal plasma cells builds up and makes an abnormal antibody protein, called M protein or paraprotein. The National Cancer Institute (NCI) describes it as multiple myeloma that does not cause any signs or symptoms. It is often found by chance, on a blood or urine test.

It sits between MGUS and active myeloma. Compared with MGUS, there is more M protein or there are more abnormal plasma cells. The M protein is 3 g/dL or more in the blood, or at least 500 mg a day in the urine. Or plasma cells make up 10% to 60% of the marrow. But unlike active myeloma, there is no organ damage, no amyloidosis and none of the lab or scan findings that define active myeloma.

Smoldering myeloma always starts as MGUS, even when the MGUS was never found. Some people stay stable for many years. Others go on to active myeloma, which needs treatment.

Where smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) starts in the bloodSmoldering myeloma is a build-up of abnormal plasma cells, the antibody makers, in the marrow. They make an abnormal protein but are not yet harming the body.Simplified illustration.

Marked as affected: plasma cells.

  • Blood stem cell, In the bone marrow
    • Myeloid line
      • Red blood cells
      • Platelets
      • Granulocytes
      • Monocytes
    • Lymphoid line
      • B cells
        • Plasma cells, Affected, Develop from B cells
      • T cells
      • NK cells, Natural killer cells

What causes it

Smoldering myeloma starts with DNA changes in plasma cells that happen during a person’s life. The exact cause is not known. Researchers think both genes and surroundings play a part.

It becomes more common with age, up to the late 70s in U.S. registry data, and is more common in men and in Black people. Having a close relative with MGUS, smoldering myeloma or myeloma slightly raises the chance. Myeloma Australia also lists immune conditions, some viruses, and certain chemicals or radiation as risk factors.

Some gene changes inside the abnormal plasma cells are linked with a higher chance of progression. These include t(4;14), t(14;16), a gain of chromosome 1q and a loss of chromosome 13.

Symptoms and effects

By definition, smoldering myeloma causes no symptoms and no damage to the bones, kidneys or blood counts. Many people feel well and do not know they have it until a test shows it.

The concern is the chance of progression to active myeloma, or less often to AL amyloidosis. The NCI says rising anemia (a low red blood cell count) is the most reliable sign of progression. Other signs include new bone pain, a broken bone after little injury, kidney problems or high calcium.

The chance of progression depends a lot on risk. Doctors often use the 2/20/20 model. It counts three findings: an M protein above 2 g/dL, a free light chain ratio above 20, and more than 20% plasma cells in the marrow. Certain gene changes can be added. The more of these a person has, the higher the chance. The chance also falls the longer smoldering myeloma stays stable.

About these numbers. Each one says which group of people it comes from, and the place and years where the source gives them. It describes what happened across that group, not what will happen to any one person. And a figure measured among people who had a transplant is not the same as the number of people who need one.

How smoldering myeloma is diagnosed

Smoldering myeloma is usually found by chance, or during regular checks for MGUS, when a blood or urine test shows a higher level of M protein. A blood specialist (hematologist) then orders more tests.

Blood and urine tests measure the M protein and free light chains. A blood count, calcium and kidney tests look for harm to the body. A bone marrow biopsy shows what share of the marrow is abnormal plasma cells, and gene tests (FISH) on the marrow look for higher-risk changes. Scans such as CT, PET-CT or MRI check the bones, because they can find damage that plain X-rays miss.

It is smoldering myeloma when the M protein is 3 g/dL or more in the blood (or at least 500 mg a day in the urine). Or it is when abnormal plasma cells make up 10% to 60% of the marrow. There must also be no amyloidosis and no myeloma-defining event. Those events include high calcium, kidney damage, anemia and bone lesions. They also include 60% or more plasma cells, a free light chain ratio of 100 or more, or more than one spot of 5 mm or larger on an MRI of the spine.

Since 2014, some findings that used to count as high-risk smoldering myeloma now count as active myeloma, which is treated. So the exact test results matter.

How it is treated

Most people with smoldering myeloma are not treated. Instead, they have active monitoring: regular blood and urine tests, with scans or a marrow test if results change. The NCI says people without bone lesions and with normal kidney function can be safely watched at first. Treatment usually starts if it turns into active myeloma.

For high-risk smoldering myeloma, one medicine is now approved. Daratumumab is an antibody that targets plasma cells. It is given as an injection under the skin, weekly at first and then less often, for up to 3 years. It was approved for this use in the European Union in July 2025. The U.S. FDA approved it (as Darzalex Faspro) for adults with high-risk disease in November 2025. The AQUILA trial included 390 people. After 5 years, 63% of those given daratumumab were alive without progression, compared with 41% of those who were monitored.

Experts still disagree about treating people who have no symptoms. Daratumumab can cause allergic and injection reactions, infections and low blood counts. It can also affect the tests blood banks use to match blood for a . Some experts argue that most progression events prevented in trials were test results rather than illness. Clinical trials are testing other approaches.

Early treatment is a choice made with the care team. It is not needed for everyone, and approvals differ between countries.

When transplant specialists are usually consulted

NMDP and ASTCT transplant consultation guidelines do not list smoldering myeloma. They recommend a transplant consultation at diagnosis of multiple myeloma, and again if it progresses or comes back. So for someone with smoldering myeloma, that consultation usually comes if it becomes active myeloma.

Read the guidance

Living with the condition

Living with smoldering myeloma usually means feeling well while having regular tests. Blood and urine tests track the M protein and free light chains. The care team sets how often, based on the risk group and how stable results are. Scans such as PET-CT or MRI can find bone damage that plain X-rays miss.

Watching and waiting can be hard. Myeloma Australia says people are often most anxious when first diagnosed and while waiting for test results. One person it quotes found that talking with a psychologist and with others living with smoldering myeloma helped. People who choose daratumumab have injections weekly at first, then less often.

Myeloma Australia asks people to report new symptoms right away, not wait for the next test. Warning signs include a broken bone after little or no injury and unexplained pain, especially in the back or ribs. Others are unexplained bruising or bleeding, feeling tired or breathless, and numbness or tingling in the hands or feet.

The donor’s role

A stem cell transplant is not a standard treatment for smoldering myeloma itself, and no donor is involved. European transplant experts (EBMT) do not list it in their 2025 recommendations. NMDP names multiple myeloma, AL amyloidosis and POEMS syndrome as the plasma-cell disorders for which a transplant may be indicated.

Clinical trials have tested intensive myeloma treatment for high-risk smoldering myeloma. One phase 2 trial, GEM-CESAR, included a transplant with the person’s own . This is research, not standard care.

If smoldering myeloma becomes active myeloma, a transplant may then be part of treatment for people who are fit enough. EBMT says a first transplant with the person’s own cells remains the standard of care for younger people with myeloma. NMDP says most people with myeloma who have a transplant receive their own cells. It says donor transplants for myeloma are generally kept for high-risk disease.

Looking ahead

Outlook for smoldering myeloma

Many people with smoldering myeloma stay stable for years, but the chance of progression varies a lot. An older Mayo Clinic study of people diagnosed in 1970–1995 found about a 10% chance a year in the first 5 years, 3% a year for the next 5, and 1% a year after that. Newer studies that use the 2014 criteria and modern scans report lower rates.

In a study of 308 people diagnosed at a New York cancer center in 2002–2019, about 30% had progressed within 5 years. The chance ranged from about 12% for low-risk to 67% for high-risk disease. In the AQUILA trial of high-risk smoldering myeloma, 93% of people given daratumumab and 87% of those monitored were alive 5 years after joining.

About these numbers. They describe groups of people, not what will happen to any one person.

These figures describe groups of people. They cannot predict what will happen to any one person.

Common questions

Is smoldering myeloma cancer?

Sources describe it in different ways. The U.S. National Cancer Institute describes smoldering myeloma as multiple myeloma that does not cause any signs or symptoms. The European Medicines Agency calls it an early, pre-cancerous form of myeloma. Either way, the abnormal plasma cells are not yet harming the body. Most people do not need treatment right away. Their care team watches for signs that it is turning into active myeloma.

Will smoldering myeloma turn into multiple myeloma?

Not always. Some people stay stable for many years. In a recent study of 308 people at a New York cancer center, about 30% had progressed to active myeloma or AL amyloidosis within 5 years. The chance was about 12% for people in the low-risk group and about 67% in the high-risk group. The longer smoldering myeloma stays stable, the lower the chance of change. Group figures cannot predict what will happen to one person.

Is there a treatment for high-risk smoldering myeloma?

Yes. Daratumumab is an antibody given as an injection under the skin. It was approved for high-risk smoldering myeloma in the European Union in 2025 and in the United States in November 2025. In the AQUILA trial, it lowered the risk of progression or death by about half compared with monitoring. But experts disagree about who should be treated, because many people never develop symptoms and treatment has side effects. Watching closely and clinical trials remain other choices.

Does smoldering myeloma need a stem cell transplant?

Not as standard care. European (EBMT) and U.S. (NMDP) transplant guidance does not list smoldering myeloma. Clinical trials such as GEM-CESAR have tested intensive treatment that included a transplant with the person’s own stem cells for high-risk disease, but this is research. If smoldering myeloma becomes active myeloma, a transplant using the person’s own stem cells is a standard option for many people who are fit enough. A donor is rarely needed.

What is the 2/20/20 rule?

It is a simple way to estimate the chance that smoldering myeloma will progress within 2 years. It counts three findings: an M protein above 2 g/dL, a free light chain ratio above 20, and more than 20% abnormal plasma cells in the marrow. The National Cancer Institute lists certain gene changes as a fourth factor. It says having three or four of these predicts a greater than 50% chance of progression to myeloma within 2 years.

What is the life expectancy with smoldering myeloma?

Many people live for years with it. In the AQUILA trial of people with high-risk smoldering myeloma, about 93% of those given daratumumab and 87% of those who were monitored were alive 5 years after joining. People with lower-risk disease were not in that trial. Newer studies also show that progression is slower than older studies suggested. These group figures cannot predict how any one person will do.

Why the details matter

Experts disagree about treating high-risk smoldering myeloma. In the AQUILA trial, daratumumab delayed progression and fewer people died. But some myeloma experts argue that most progression events were found on tests rather than as illness, and they still favor watching. The often-quoted 10% yearly progression rate comes from people diagnosed in 1970–1995. Since then, 2014 criteria and modern scans have moved many higher-risk people into active myeloma, and newer studies report lower rates.

How a transplant using your own cells works

Smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM)

From the Jada Bascom Foundation disease library, jadabascomfoundation.org. Printed .

Questions to bring to your care team

  • Which risk group am I in by the 2/20/20 model, and did the gene tests (FISH) change that?
  • Have I had a PET-CT or MRI to make sure there is no hidden bone damage that would mean active myeloma?
  • Would daratumumab or a clinical trial make sense for me, or is watching the better plan, and what are the trade-offs?
  • How often will my blood and urine be tested, and which changes would lead to a marrow test or treatment?
  • What is the exact name of the diagnosis or subtype, and what does it mean for treatment?
  • What is the goal of each treatment you are suggesting?
  • What would make a transplant worth considering later on?
  • Where can our family find support during treatment?

A one-page list to take to the next appointment, with room for notes.

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Sources and further reading

  1. Plasma Cell Neoplasms (Including Multiple Myeloma) Treatment (PDQ): Health Professional Version
    NCI (PDQ, health professional version), Updated 2025-04-25; accessed 2026-09-26
  2. Plasma Cell Neoplasms (Including Multiple Myeloma) Treatment (PDQ): Patient Version
    NCI (PDQ, patient version), Updated 2023-11-17; accessed 2026-09-26
  3. Indications for haematopoietic cell transplantation and CAR-T for haematological diseases, solid tumours and immune disorders: 2025 EBMT practice recommendations
    EBMT / Bone Marrow Transplantation (open access, PMC12583170), 2025-09-09; accessed 2026-09-26
  4. Plasma cell disorders: disease-specific transplant consultation guidelines
    NMDP, Accessed 2026-09-26
  5. FDA approves daratumumab and hyaluronidase-fihj for high-risk smoldering multiple myeloma
    FDA, 2025-11-06
  6. Darzalex: EPAR
    EMA, Page updated 2025-08-29; accessed 2026-09-26
  7. Daratumumab or Active Monitoring for High-Risk Smoldering Multiple Myeloma
    New England Journal of Medicine (Dimopoulos et al., AQUILA trial; abstract), 2025
  8. Trends in Smoldering Myeloma Incidence in the United States From Cancer Registries, 2012–2022
    American Journal of Hematology (Wang et al., with NCI authors; via PMC), 2026-01-13
  9. Why We Do Not Recommend That People With High-Risk Smoldering Myeloma Receive Treatment
    American Journal of Hematology (Mohyuddin et al., via PMC), 2025-12-04
  10. Prognosis and patterns of progression in smoldering multiple myeloma
    Blood Advances (Akhlaghi et al., via PMC), 2026
  11. Clinical Course and Prognosis of Smoldering (Asymptomatic) Multiple Myeloma
    New England Journal of Medicine (Kyle et al., abstract), 2007
  12. European Commission approves DARZALEX® (daratumumab) as the first licensed treatment for patients with high-risk smouldering multiple myeloma
    Johnson & Johnson (press release), 2025-07-23; accessed 2026-09-26
  13. Smouldering myeloma
    Myeloma Australia, Accessed 2026-09-26
  14. Navigating the evolving management of smoldering multiple myeloma
    HemaSphere (Hammami et al., via PMC), 2026
  15. NCT02415413 (GEM-CESAR): carfilzomib, lenalidomide and dexamethasone, then autologous stem cell transplant, in high-risk smoldering multiple myeloma
    ClinicalTrials.gov, Accessed 2026-09-26

This information explains a condition and its treatments. It cannot diagnose an illness or recommend treatment for an individual. Your care team can explain how the evidence applies to you. Written and source-checked by the Jada Bascom Foundation. Each page lists the published sources it draws on.

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Part of 2 diagnosis guides, each explaining how its subtypes fit together: Myeloma and related plasma cell disorders and Types of blood cancer.